Monday, 23 June 2025

Why Are So Many People Losing Money in Options but Not in Futures?

 


If you’ve ever wondered why your options trades keep blowing up while futures seem ‘easier’ for others — you’re not imagining it. Here’s the real story.


Let me tell you about Marcus.

He wasn’t dumb.
He wasn’t lazy.
He watched tutorials, took courses, read Reddit posts.

And yet…

His options trades kept bleeding money — even when he was right about the direction.
Meanwhile, his futures trades? Messy, yes, but often profitable or at least break-even.

He was frustrated. Confused. Ready to quit.

So he messaged me:

“Why do people lose money in options even when they’re right?
Like… futures feel aggressive, but I understand them.
Options feel like gambling in a language I don’t speak.”

And I told him the truth — the part most people gloss over in those YouTube tutorials with Lamborghini thumbnails:


🧠 Options Are Not Just a Bet on Direction.

They're a bet on time, volatility, and math — all at once.

Let’s unpack why people lose money in options (but not always in futures), even when they think they know what’s going on.


🔥 1. With Options, Being "Right" Isn't Enough

Imagine you think Tesla will go up.

You buy a call option.
Tesla does go up.
But your trade still loses money.

Why?

Because:

  • The stock didn’t move enough

  • It didn’t move fast enough

  • Or the implied volatility dropped (aka “IV crush”)

  • Or the option was too far out of the money

  • Or you paid too much in premium

In options, five things need to go right. In futures, one does: direction.


💣 2. Options Decay in Value. Futures Don’t.

Every day, your options contract gets slightly weaker.

This is called theta decay — the slow death of your premium over time.

So even if the market moves eventually in your direction, you might lose just because it didn’t move soon enough.

Futures don’t do that.

They might wreck you with leverage, yes — but they don’t expire or decay like options do.

❗️Most beginners don't even realize how much time decay eats their trade alive — until it's too late.


🎭 3. Options Have a Psychological Trap

Here’s the emotional part no one talks about:

  • Options feel safer because you can only lose what you pay in premium.

  • But that safety is deceptive. It leads beginners to take way more bad trades with tiny odds of success.

You end up spraying and praying — buying lottery-ticket options hoping one hits 300%.

Meanwhile, in futures, your risk is felt. There’s a healthy fear that keeps most traders more disciplined.

Options encourage hope. Futures force you to plan.


📉 4. Futures Are Simpler, Even If Riskier

In a futures trade:

  • You choose direction

  • You manage your stop-loss

  • You exit manually

That’s it.

There’s no time decay, no IV crush, no Greeks whispering in the shadows.

It’s brutal, but it’s transparent.

And that’s why many beginners do better in futures at first — not because they’re geniuses, but because futures are brutally honest. You win or lose fast.


🔍 5. Options Require a Math Mindset. Most of Us Just Want Price to Go Up or Down.

Let’s be real:
Most new traders are just trying to play direction.

They’re not trying to do complex volatility arbitrage.
They’re not hedging their long-term portfolios.

They’re just trying to turn $100 into $150.

And for that goal, futures are more aligned with the mindset.

Options? They require deeper strategy, more patience, and a mastery of edge cases like:

  • Greeks

  • Spread structures

  • Early assignment risks

  • Bid/ask spreads that eat your soul


🧭 TL;DR: Why People Lose Money in Options (But Not Always in Futures)

FactorOptionsFutures
Direction-based❌ Not enough✅ All you need
Time-sensitive✅ Yes❌ No
Prone to decay✅ Yes❌ No
Emotionally deceptive✅ Yes❌ Less so
Math-heavy✅ Yes❌ Minimal
Transparent?❌ Often unclear✅ Painfully clear

🧘‍♂️ Final Thoughts: Know What You’re Actually Trading

If you’re losing money in options but not in futures, it’s not because you’re unlucky.
It’s because you’re using an advanced tool with beginner expectations.

And nobody told you that.

So here’s your rule of thumb:

💬 “If you want to bet on direction, start with futures.
If you want to bet on probabilities, volatility, and time — then explore options.
But don’t confuse the two.”

Because being right in the market isn’t enough.
You need to be right in the right way.

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