Wednesday, 2 July 2025

I Spent Years Chasing Trends Without Knowing What One Really Was—Here’s the Simple Truth No One Tells You



 Let me be brutally honest: I traded for years without actually knowing what a trend was.

Sure, I threw around phrases like “uptrend,” “momentum,” or “higher highs and higher lows,” but if you’d asked me to define a trend clearly and confidently—I’d probably just send you a TradingView screenshot and mumble something about EMAs.

The truth? I knew how a trend felt, but not what it was.

And that made all the difference.


🚨 Most Traders Use “Trend” Like It’s Vibes

The market moves up for a few days? “It’s trending!”
It dips for two hours? “Trend reversal!”
Consolidates sideways? “Wait, are we still in a trend?”

Sound familiar?

That was me. And it cost me money—because I was reacting emotionally, not trading with structure.
Then I finally stripped the word down and rebuilt it in a way that’s simple, repeatable, and brutally effective.


🧠 So… What Is a Trend?

Here’s the most down-to-earth answer you’ll ever get:

A trend is a directional bias confirmed by a consistent pattern in price structure.

Let’s break that down like humans:

  • A directional bias = price is moving somewhere, not sideways.

  • A consistent pattern = the market keeps making higher highs + higher lows (or lower lows + lower highs).

  • Confirmed = this isn’t a 2-candle fluke—it’s a repeatable, observable movement.

If you can’t clearly see that structure on your chart in 5 seconds, you’re not in a trend—you’re in noise.


🔍 The 3-Part Test I Use to Define a Trend Now

✅ 1. Are highs and lows aligning?

Uptrend = higher highs and higher lows
Downtrend = lower highs and lower lows
No trend = inconsistent or sideways movement

✅ 2. Is volume supporting the move?

Trends need fuel. If price is moving but volume’s dying, I stay cautious. Trends without volume often die fast.

✅ 3. Are indicators confirming—not predicting?

I’ll use a 20 EMA for reference. If price hugs it in one direction and keeps structure, that’s trend confirmation. If price chops through it like spaghetti—no trend.


🧠 Bonus Rule: Trends Don’t Start with Fireworks. They Whisper.

Most people want to catch a trend as it begins—but trends rarely announce themselves.

They creep in.

  • They often start with a false breakout

  • Then a break of structure

  • Then… the momentum builds quietly

By the time it’s obvious, the early emotional traders are already stopped out—and that’s where real trend traders step in.


🔁 So Why Does This Matter So Much?

Because without a clear definition of trend:

  • You’ll get chopped in fake moves

  • You’ll enter too early or too late

  • You’ll exit winners because “it looks tired”

  • You’ll hold losers because “it’ll come back”

Understanding trend is the difference between a strategy and a hope.

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🙌 Final Thoughts: The Market Doesn’t Confuse You—Your Definitions Do

Once I got crystal clear about what a trend really is, my entries became simpler, my exits cleaner, and my stress levels dropped.

No more guessing.
No more drawing 50 trendlines hoping one sticks.
Just clean structure, confirmation, and peace of mind.

So next time you see someone yell “THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND!” ask them:
What exactly do you mean by that?

If they can’t define it, they shouldn’t be trading it.

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