Walk into any trading forum and you’ll drown in “systems.”
-
Some swear by fundamental analysis.
-
Others worship Elliott Waves, Fibonacci ratios, or even astrology.
-
You’ll hear about “the I Ching,” “Eight Diagrams,” “time windows,” and a dozen more frameworks.
And here’s the harsh truth: most of it won’t make you money.
The only thing that consistently does? Trend.
Why the Market Is Always About Trends
Markets may look chaotic, but under the noise, every move fits into a simple framework:
trend + pattern.
-
A roaring bull market is just an uptrend.
-
A crushing bear market is just a downtrend.
-
Sideways chop? That’s not “random” — it’s simply the incubation phase of the next big trend.
Think of it like a volcano. Even when dormant, it’s still a volcano. The sideways market doesn’t change the fact that it’s storing energy for the next eruption.
Why Winners Only Rely on Trends
Every consistent winner I’ve ever studied has one thing in common: they trade with the trend.
They don’t waste time asking why the market is trending. They just figure out which direction it’s moving — and ride it.
Because here’s the kicker:
-
In a bull market, profits climb “uphill.”
-
In a bear market, profits slide “downhill” — and often twice as fast.
You don’t need to outthink central banks, macroeconomists, or insiders. You just need to align yourself with the dominant force.
The Trap of Overthinking
Most traders blow up because they ask the wrong question:
❌ “Why is the market moving this way?”
✅ “Where is the market moving?”
The “why” is messy. It’s policies, capital flows, supply/demand imbalances, geopolitical shocks… nobody has the full picture.
But the “where”? That’s on the chart. That’s visible. That’s the only piece of truth we can use.
The Sideways Market Warning
Here’s another hard truth: if the market doesn’t have a trend, stay out.
This is where beginners burn themselves. They get bored during consolidation. They chase tiny moves. They confuse “activity” with “profitability.”
But a sideways market is nothing but a waiting room. Respect it. Be patient.
Two rules to tattoo on your mind:
-
“Don’t trade what you don’t understand.”
-
“Don’t trade what doesn’t trend.”
The Bottom Line
Trading is not about intelligence. It’s about discipline.
If you want to make money:
-
Forget the mystical theories.
-
Stop trying to explain the market.
-
Find the trend. Trade with it.
That’s it. That’s the whole secret. Everything else is noise.
Because in the end, profit always belongs to the trader who respects the trend.
No comments:
Post a Comment