Wednesday, 14 May 2025

Most Bull Put Spread Traders Are Bleeding Money in Sideways Markets — Here’s the Delta Trick That Can Save You

 


If you’ve ever sold a bull put spread, you probably thought something like:

“Okay, I’m bullish… or at least neutral-bullish. I’ll sell a put spread and let theta work for me while the price chops sideways. Easy money, right?”

Until... it’s not.

Your position expires worthless but not in the good way.
The price stayed in your range. But the P&L didn’t go up. Or worse — it went red.

If this sounds familiar, welcome to the bull put spread deathtrap most traders sleepwalk into.

Let’s break down why 90% of retail traders lose money with bull put spreads in sideways markets — and the one delta-based fix that changes everything.


🔥 Part 1: The Dangerous Myth Behind Bull Put Spreads

The textbook says this:

  • Sell a put at a strike below the current price

  • Buy a further OTM put as protection

  • Let time decay do its thing

  • Profit if the price stays above the short strike

What they don’t tell you:
In a sideways or slightly bullish market, that "profit if it stays above the strike" idea is only half the truth.

In reality, IV crush, negative gamma, wrong delta selection, and early assignment risk work against you.

Here’s what actually happens:

  • You pick a high-probability trade with a short put at 0.15 delta

  • IV drops after you open the trade (because sideways usually = low volatility)

  • Theta decay stalls — and so does your P&L

  • Underlying price barely moves, but your spread holds value stubbornly

  • Then suddenly, you’re red... even though price never touched your strike

You didn’t lose on direction.
You lost because you sold the wrong delta.


🚨 The #1 Mistake: Selling the “Safe” 10–15 Delta Put

Most options traders are taught to sell options at 0.10–0.15 delta. Why?

“It has a high probability of profit!”

Sure — but it also has low premium, low theta decay, and low responsiveness to sideways price action.

In choppy or low-volume markets, these low-delta puts don’t lose value the way you expect. Time decay slows down, IV drops faster than your spread decays, and your max profit looks great on paper but takes forever to arrive — if it does at all.

The result?
You spend 2 weeks holding a spread that barely moves, your buying power is tied up, and you make 10% of what you expected. Or worse — the position starts losing as volatility dries up and bid/ask spreads widen.


✅ The Fix: The “Mid-Delta Sweet Spot” (And Why It Works)

Instead of blindly selling the 0.10 delta put...

👉 Target the 0.25–0.30 delta zone for your short put.

Why?

Because these strikes:

  • Offer higher premium per day held

  • Respond faster to time decay

  • Recover from small drawdowns quicker in sideways markets

  • Give you enough room to still be “wrong” on direction

Yes, the probability of profit is lower on paper (70–75% instead of 85–90%).
But expected value is much higher.

This trick works because sideways markets punish low-theta trades. Higher-delta spreads decay faster — especially when the price wobbles near your short strike without touching it.

You make more, sooner, and you spend less time managing dead-weight trades.

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🧠 Real-World Example: The “Sideways SPY Squeeze”

Let’s say SPY is trading at $430.

  • You sell the $415/$410 put spread (short put = 0.10 delta)
    → Premium collected: $0.50
    → Max return: 11% on risk
    → Takes forever to decay. After 7 days, still worth $0.42

Now try this instead:

  • You sell the $420/$415 put spread (short put = 0.25 delta)
    → Premium collected: $1.30
    → Max return: ~35% on risk
    → In a sideways market, decays to $0.70 in just 5 days

Same time window. Same price action.
But you made 2–3x more using the right delta.


🛡 Bonus Tip: Manage Early

Higher-delta spreads = faster theta = faster profits.
But they also need quicker exits.

Set a 50–60% profit target, not 100%.

Lock in profits early. Don’t hold to expiration.
You’ll avoid pin risk, random gamma spikes, and bid/ask traps.


👀 Final Thoughts: Bull Put Spreads Aren’t Bad — You’re Just Playing Too Safe

Most traders lose money with bull put spreads because they think “safe” = “smart.”
But in sideways markets, safety kills profits.

Switch your delta. Stop being too safe. Start being smarter.

  • Avoid 0.10 delta traps

  • Embrace the 0.25–0.30 “golden zone”

  • Exit early. Don’t get greedy.

  • Understand time decay isn’t linear — it accelerates near your short strike

You don’t need more trades.
You just need better setups — with the right delta.



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