Monday, 28 July 2025

I Let an AI Manage My Trading Portfolio for 30 Days—The Results Were Not What I Expected

 


I’m not a financial guru, and I don’t own a hedge fund. I’m just a regular guy with some coding skills, a healthy obsession with financial markets, and a deep curiosity about what happens when you trust a machine with your money.

So, I did something that made my inner control freak sweat.

I built an AI. Trained it. Tuned it.
And then I let it manage my actual trading portfolio for 30 days. Real money. No backtests. No paper trading.

And what happened?
Well... it didn’t go the way I expected.


🧪 The Setup

I used a transformer-based model fine-tuned on market news, earnings transcripts, technical indicators, and Reddit sentiment (because, memes move markets now, apparently).

It had one job:
Make autonomous trades based on short- to mid-term signals.

I didn’t interfere. No overrides. No “human gut checks.”
Just the bot, the data, and the market.


📈 Week 1: Promising Start

The AI came out swinging.

It identified a breakout in a semiconductor stock 48 hours before the price popped. Then it shorted a mid-cap biotech that tanked on poor trial results—before the news hit the mainstream.

My portfolio was up 6.4% in the first week.
I started thinking: “Okay, maybe machines really are better at this than we are.”

Cue the overconfidence.

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😬 Week 2: The Weirdness Begins

Then things got... odd.

The AI started making strange bets:

  • Buying into highly illiquid small caps

  • Doubling down on trades after minor pullbacks

  • Ignoring obvious macro events (hello, rate hike!)

The portfolio dipped 3.1%. Not catastrophic—but the trades felt like they were coming from a parallel universe.

I checked the logs. The AI wasn’t malfunctioning. It was doing exactly what it was designed to do: Follow the data. All of it. Blindly.


🤯 Week 3: Gut Punch

Week 3 was brutal.

The AI opened a leveraged position right before a surprise CPI report tanked the market. It didn’t hedge. It didn’t pause. It didn’t even flinch.

Down 9.8% in three days.

And I just watched it happen. Like a dad watching his toddler run into traffic—but knowing I wasn’t supposed to grab the wheel.

That moment hit me hard.
Not just financially—but emotionally.


💡 What I Learned

1. AI Doesn’t Feel Risk—You Do

My model didn’t care about fear. It didn’t feel uncertainty. But I did.
It was trading in a void. I was the one sweating bullets.

2. Intelligence ≠ Judgment

The AI was smart—objectively smarter than me in some ways.
But it lacked judgment. It couldn’t pause and say, “Hey, the Fed might blow this up tomorrow.”

3. You Can’t Automate Context

Markets are messy. Human. Political. Emotional.
You can’t always reduce that into clean datasets and tidy labels.


📉 The Final Numbers

After 30 days, my portfolio was down 4.7% overall.
But that number doesn’t tell the full story.

The real cost was emotional:

  • The helplessness of watching bad trades unfold

  • The ego hit of being outsmarted and still losing

  • The realization that trusting AI with your money is less about code—and more about control


🧭 Would I Do It Again?

Yes. But never the same way.

Next time, the AI will be my analyst, not my pilot.
It can scan, crunch, and forecast—but I make the final call.

Because at the end of the day, it’s still my money.
And no model, no matter how smart, can understand how it feels to lose your hard-earned cash on a machine's bad call.


🔚 Final Thought

Everyone’s chasing the magic of AI trading.
The promise of effortless alpha. Passive income on autopilot.

But here’s what no one tells you:

The scariest part isn’t the AI failing—it’s watching it fail and realizing you can’t do a damn thing about it.

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